MARKETS SAY

September 13, 2026 — Follow the smart money, daily.

ferrariChampions2026 took the top spot today with a cool $147,000 in P&L, a testament to precision timing in volatile markets. Close behind, TAIWANNUMBERONE added $107,000 to their ledger, while AvrahamEisenberg - 10161 rounded out the top three with an even $100,000. These titans of Polymarket are making serious money, often by betting against conventional wisdom on everything from legislative acts to geopolitical shifts.

Betting Against Cannabis Rescheduling17.0%+$11K (47% return)

While federal cannabis policy remains a hot topic, PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN is betting against a swift change. In the market asking if 'Weed rescheduled by December 31?', PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN holds NO shares, having entered at an average price of $0.57. With those shares now valued at $0.83, they've netted $11,000, a 47% return, as the market increasingly doubts a rescheduling will occur this year.

No Change in Iran Leadershipworld15.0%+$5K (81% return)

Geopolitical stability in Iran is proving a profitable bet for PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN. The market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?' has seen this trader accumulate NO shares at an average entry of $0.47. With the market now pricing those NO shares at $0.85, PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN has secured $5,000 in P&L, representing an impressive 81% return, as the probability of a leadership change this year continues to diminish.

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Democrats Eye Senate Controlpolitics53.5%+$769 (70% return)

The 2026 Midterm elections are still over a year away, but Zzzz87 is already positioning for a Democratic Senate. In the market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?', Zzzz87 holds YES shares, acquired at an average entry of $0.31. With the current probability at 53.5% and shares trading at $0.54, this 'active trader' has seen a 70% return, adding $769 to their daily P&L.

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Rubio's 2028 Nomination Odds Fadepolitics17.0%+$5K (13% return)

The race for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is heating up, but the market isn't bullish on Marco Rubio. Trader Jsram has been accumulating NO shares in the market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?' at an average entry of $0.74. With those shares now trading at $0.83, Jsram has realized $5,000 in profit, a 13% return, as the market increasingly doubts Rubio's path to the nomination.

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Clarity Act Faces Uphill Battle22.5%+$4K (50% return)

Legislative hurdles for the 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633)' in 2026 are proving lucrative for traders. PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN, ranked #10 today, holds YES shares in the market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?'. Despite the low 22.5% probability, PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN's average entry of $0.15 for YES shares, now trading at $0.23, has yielded $4,000 in P&L, a 50% return, as the market slightly improves its outlook for the bill.

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● MARKET MOVERS

The esports world saw dramatic shifts today, with the 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy' market plummeting by 68.5 percentage points to just 5.5%. Similarly, multiple 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend' game-specific markets crashed, some dropping by nearly 60 percentage points. The exception was 'Game 3 Winner,' which surged 48.0 percentage points to a 100% probability, indicating a decisive outcome. These moves generated significant 24-hour volumes, with the overall 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5)' market seeing $1.8M in activity.

▲ VOLUME SPIKES

Beyond the esports frenzy, several sports markets experienced unusually high activity. Two tennis matches, 'Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Alevtina Ibragimova' and 'Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold,' each saw over 100% of their all-time volume traded today, totaling $146K and $98K respectively. The 'US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton' match also garnered $317K in 24 hours, representing 98% of its total volume.

★ NEW MARKETS

The high-volume tennis matches, 'Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Alevtina Ibragimova' and 'Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold,' also debuted today. Traders are already heavily wagering on these new events, with $146K and $98K in volume already.

Today’s Leaderboard

#1 ferrariChampions2026 +$147K  ·  #2 TAIWANNUMBERONE +$107K  ·  #3 AvrahamEisenberg -.. +$100K  ·  #4 OhWhenTheReds +$97K  ·  #5 BrotherObama +$95K

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Markets Say — Where the smart money goes before the headlines.

marketssay.com · Data from Polymarket · AI-generated analysis · Not financial advice

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