MARKETS SAYJuly 12, 2026 — Follow the smart money, daily. |
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DEEDDIT just pulled in a cool $1.6 million today, leading a pack of traders who collectively banked over $5 million across Polymarket. On a day where one UK political bet resolved with a tidy 151% return, the real action was in the long game of the World Cup, where two accumulators quietly built positions that are now paying off handsomely. Meanwhile, a contrarian bet against a 2028 presidential hopeful is yielding serious dividends. |
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UK PM Bet Delivers 151%politics+$22K (151% return) The question of Andy Burnham becoming the next UK Prime Minister in 2026 has officially resolved, and trader 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 is celebrating a win. Holding YES shares, they accumulated positions at an average entry of $0.40. As Burnham's path to power solidified, the market climbed, settling at $0.99 for a substantial $22K profit and a 151% return on their investment. |
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England's World Cup Hopes Soar21.9%+$497K (119% return) As the 2026 FIFA World Cup heats up, England's chances are looking better, with the market now pricing them at 21.9% to win. Trader BreakTheBank, currently ranked #11, has been an early believer, accumulating YES shares at an average entry of $0.10. With the current price at $0.22, they've netted a remarkable $497K profit, representing a 119% return as the Three Lions advance. Jsram is also up $345K on YES shares, entered at $0.12. |
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Betting Against Vance Pays Offpolitics80.2%+$362K (60% return) The 2028 US Presidential Election market for JD Vance is showing a fascinating dynamic. While the market indicates a strong probability of him *not* winning (currently 80.2% for NO shares), trader Protruder has been quietly capitalizing. Holding NO shares with an average entry of $0.50, Protruder has watched their position climb to $0.80, securing a $362K profit and a 60% return as the market increasingly bets against Vance. |
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Putin Exit Bet Defies Oddsworld91.5%+$27K (5% return) The market on Vladimir Putin's presidency, currently at 91.5% for him being out by December 31, 2026, is seeing a conviction play from trader ThisAgain. Despite the overwhelming odds, ThisAgain has placed a significant bet on Putin *staying* in power, holding NO shares purchased at $0.87. With the current price at $0.92, they're already up $27K, a 5% return, betting against the consensus. |
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Rubio Nomination Odds Risepolitics26.8%+$18K (22% return) The race for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is heating up, with Marco Rubio's chances currently at 26.8%. Trader Jsram, a consistent accumulator, has been building a position in Rubio's favor since early March. Holding YES shares with an average entry of $0.22, and the current price at $0.27, Jsram has realized an $18K profit, a 22% return, as Rubio's prospects improve. |
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● MARKET MOVERS Esports markets were particularly volatile today, with several LoL and Dota 2 games seeing massive 50-68 percentage point swings. These rapid shifts often occur as live matches play out, pushing probabilities to near 0% or 100% as outcomes become clear. |
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▲ VOLUME SPIKES The upcoming FIFA World Cup match between France and Spain is generating significant buzz, with the 'Team to Advance' market seeing $2.4 million in 24-hour volume, representing 100% of its all-time activity. Exact score markets for the same game are also attracting hundreds of thousands in fresh capital. |
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★ NEW MARKETS Three new ATP tennis markets for Trieste, Swiss Open, and Swedish Open qualification matches launched in the last 24 hours, collectively drawing over $300K in immediate volume as traders jump on early action. |
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Today’s Leaderboard #1 DEEDDIT +$1.6M · #2 weatherman12 +$1.1M · #3 ramadamaramadam +$836K · #4 Sparkling8899 +$762K · #5 ThisAgain +$675K |
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Markets Say — Where the smart money goes before the headlines. marketssay.com · Data from Polymarket · AI-generated analysis · Not financial advice |