MARKETS SAYJuly 07, 2026 — Follow the smart money, daily. |
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DEEDDIT just had a day for the record books, raking in an astounding +$3.1 million across Polymarket today. While we don't have the granular market data on DEEDDIT's specific plays, their performance alone dwarfed the next closest earner, CandleHammerDrums, by nearly $2 million. It's a stark reminder that when the market moves, the biggest players can make serious bank, often with quiet conviction. |
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Burnham's PM Bet Pays Offpolitics+$21K The market "Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?" officially settled at 99.0% YES, confirming the political consensus. Trader 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, who ranks #5 in daily P&L, accumulated YES shares at an average entry of $0.40. Their conviction paid off handsomely, netting them a $21K profit and a 149% return as the market resolved to YES. |
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England's World Cup Hopes Climb14.3%+$97K As the 2026 FIFA World Cup progresses, England's chances of winning are holding at 14.3%. Trader Jsram, ranked #7, has been an accumulator, buying YES shares 20 times at an average entry of $0.11. Jsram is currently up $97K with a 34% return. Meanwhile, 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, the #5 earner, is sitting on an impressive 682% return, having bought in at an average of $0.02 and now up $86K, seemingly poised to take profit. |
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Rubio's 2028 Odds Steadypolitics25.8%+$14K The 2028 Republican presidential nomination market sees Marco Rubio holding a 25.8% probability. Jsram, a consistent accumulator, has been building a YES position over 121 days, with 17 buys at an average entry of $0.22, now showing a $14K profit. FootballFan98, another top earner, demonstrates an active trading style, holding YES shares from an average entry of $0.09, now up $193 for a 202% return, suggesting early conviction on Rubio's long-shot prospects. |
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Ronaldo Crying Odds Plunge18.5%+$4K The highly speculative market "Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?" saw its probability plummet by a staggering 50.0 percentage points, now sitting at 18.5%. This dramatic shift suggests market participants believe the emotional moment is far less likely to occur as the tournament progresses. Trader 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, holding NO shares at an average entry of $0.67, has benefited from this swing, currently up $4K with a 22% return as the odds of Ronaldo crying shrink. |
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Greenland Acquisition Doubtworld93.5%+$2K The market "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?" currently sits at a high 93.5% probability, yet trader FootballFan98 holds a conviction bet against it. With NO shares acquired at an average entry of $0.86, FootballFan98 is currently up $2K, a 9% return. This position suggests a belief that despite the high market probability, the geopolitical complexities of such an acquisition within the year might be underestimated by the broader market. |
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France World Cup Bet Sinks33.1%-$82K While England's odds climb, France's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup appear to be dwindling, leaving some traders in the red. FootballFan98, ranked #8 in daily P&L, is currently underwater by $82K on their NO shares, having invested $425K. With an average entry of $0.83 and the current price at $0.67, this represents a significant unrealized loss, yet the trader holds firm, suggesting a strong conviction that France will *not* win the tournament. |
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● MARKET MOVERS The "Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?" market saw a massive 50.0 percentage point drop, now at 18.5%, indicating a significant shift in sentiment. On the flip side, a Dota 2 match involving Team Falcons shot up 50.0 percentage points to a 100.0% probability, signaling a definitive outcome. Wimbledon matches also saw notable swings, with Jiri Lehecka's odds dropping 21.0pp against Alexander Zverev. |
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▲ VOLUME SPIKES Wimbledon matches are dominating the volume spikes today, with "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic" and "Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff" both generating 100% of their all-time volume in the last 24 hours, totaling $695K and $288K respectively, as the tournament heats up. |
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★ NEW MARKETS Two new markets opened regarding "Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?" and "Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?", already accumulating $93K and $74K in volume respectively, suggesting intense interest in a developing political or public figure's status. |
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▼ UNDERWATER CONVICTION FootballFan98 is holding strong on their $82K underwater bet that France will not win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, despite the market currently giving France a 33.1% chance. |
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Today’s Leaderboard #1 DEEDDIT +$3.1M · #2 CandleHammerDrums +$1.3M · #3 coldsway +$858K · #4 wr0ngw4yb3tt0r +$840K · #5 0x2c33..5465 +$645K |
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Markets Say — Where the smart money goes before the headlines. marketssay.com · Data from Polymarket · AI-generated analysis · Not financial advice |